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Monty Hall Simulation
#9
Here's one to think about: The state lottery makes a mistake and prints 10 scratch-off lottery tickets. One of them has a $1,000,000 prize to it, the rest are losers. Hearing the news, you quickly run down to the local store and buy they only ticket they have for $1000. Too nervous to scratch it off, you stick it in your pocket and go to work.

During your shift, the state rushes out and manages to buy up 8 of the remaining tickets. Scratching them they confirm they're all losers.

Now, what's the chance your ticket is a winner?? If your neighbor somehow bought the other ticket, and wanted to trade, would your odds be better or worse by trading?
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Messages In This Thread
Monty Hall Simulation - by dcromley - 08-16-2022, 03:51 PM
RE: Monty Hall Simulation - by bplus - 08-16-2022, 04:23 PM
RE: Monty Hall Simulation - by SMcNeill - 08-16-2022, 04:46 PM
RE: Monty Hall Simulation - by bplus - 08-16-2022, 05:00 PM
RE: Monty Hall Simulation - by SMcNeill - 08-16-2022, 05:01 PM
RE: Monty Hall Simulation - by bplus - 08-16-2022, 05:09 PM
RE: Monty Hall Simulation - by SMcNeill - 08-16-2022, 05:11 PM
RE: Monty Hall Simulation - by bplus - 08-16-2022, 05:27 PM
RE: Monty Hall Simulation - by SMcNeill - 08-16-2022, 05:42 PM
RE: Monty Hall Simulation - by Jack - 08-16-2022, 05:45 PM
RE: Monty Hall Simulation - by SMcNeill - 08-16-2022, 06:02 PM
RE: Monty Hall Simulation - by Kernelpanic - 08-16-2022, 07:40 PM
RE: Monty Hall Simulation - by Pete - 08-17-2022, 01:56 AM

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